Textron (TXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXT - Textron, Inc.
$87.75
-0.78 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
+12.24%
30d:
+15.84%
90d:
-0.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TXT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.21
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXT is currently trading at $87.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.63 to $81.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXT scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.73 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXT scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.73 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.63 -
$81.98
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Protect Your Profits
TXT is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.63 -
$81.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.18
Resistance Level
$89.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.16
Wall Street Target
$101.73
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.57
(0%)
2-Year Target
$87.40
(0%)
3-Year Target
$87.22
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$87.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$184.78
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.9%)
$113.18
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$96.20
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$126.35
(+44%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$114.86
(+31%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$60.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$88.01
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 04, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$237 | 62 BUY |
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Securit… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$92 | 56 HOLD |
|
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$102 | 64 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$307 | 56 HOLD |
|
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$213 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced TXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXT price and gamma walls.
