CAE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAE - CAE INC
$24.91
-0.45 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
+0.97%
30d:
-3.56%
90d:
-19.41%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.78
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $24.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.91 to $26.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.76, while resistance sits at $27.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.12 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.76, while resistance sits at $27.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.12 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.91 -
$26.69
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($33.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.91 -
$26.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.76
Resistance Level
$27.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.08
Wall Street Target
$33.12
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.51
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$24.12
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.73
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$24.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$30.52
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.97
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$23.77
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$46.13
(+80%)
Analyst growth 70.0%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$41.93
(+63%)
Market implied 70.0%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$16.78
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$26.18
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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