CAE (CAE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAE - CAE INC
$23.57
-0.66 (-2.72%)
▼
5d:
-1.71%
30d:
-9.28%
90d:
-5.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.32
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAE is currently trading at $23.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.85 to $26.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAE scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.27 (+28.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAE scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.27 (+28.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$23.85 -
$26.22
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.4% below Wall St target ($30.27)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 80/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.85 -
$26.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.53
Resistance Level
$24.52
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.00
Wall Street Target
$30.27
(+28.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.86
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$22.18
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$21.51
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$23.55
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.9%)
$28.14
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 3.9%)
$26.46
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$22.50
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$51.67
(+119%)
Analyst growth 93.9%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$46.98
(+99%)
Market implied 93.9%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$16.48
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.81
(+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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