AXON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXON - Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock
$481.48
-8.64 (-1.76%)
▼
5d:
+23.04%
30d:
+22.28%
90d:
-15.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
Get Alerted When AXON Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
3 traders called AXON this week
33% bullish • 4 bearish
33% bullish • 4 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AXON is 17.4% above its trading range ($410.08). Market expects -6.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AXON is 17.4% above its trading range ($410.08). Market expects -6.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$514.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$319.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXON is currently trading at $481.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $385.10 to $410.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 45.5) compared to its historical average (55.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 89.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $493.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $662.04 (+37.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $493.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $662.04 (+37.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$385.10 -
$410.08
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AXON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+17.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.5% below Wall St target ($662.04)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 17.4% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$385.10 -
$410.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$374.00
Resistance Level
$493.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.54
Wall Street Target
$662.04
(+37.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.8%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
45.5 vs 55.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$451.15
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$422.72
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$396.09
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→55)
$481.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.5, Growth: 37.5%)
$1252.12
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 37.5%)
$602.46
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 37.5%)
$512.09
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 48.54 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.05
Bull Case
$530.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 51.0
Base Case
$439.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 48.5
Bear Case
$336.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 45.5 to 55.4
Stabilization Target:
$585.77
(+21.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeri Williams
SELL
157 shares
2026-03-17
Erika Nardini
SELL
198 shares
2026-03-17
Jennifer H Mak
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-02
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$270 | 57 HOLD |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$303 | 55 HOLD |
|
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$382 | 56 HOLD |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1524 | 63 BUY |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$215 | 61 BUY |
Advanced AXON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXON price and gamma walls.
