BWXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWXT - BWX Technologies, Inc.
$209.89
-0.11 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
+8.22%
30d:
+3.64%
90d:
+2.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BWXT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BWXT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.79
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWXT is currently trading at $209.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $189.51 to $205.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.4) is in line with its historical norms (42.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $215.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BWXT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $238.27 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $215.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BWXT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $238.27 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$189.51 -
$205.48
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($238.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$189.51 -
$205.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.46
Resistance Level
$215.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.41
Wall Street Target
$238.27
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.4 vs 42.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.16
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$204.47
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$201.81
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→42)
$209.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$281.04
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$151.48
(-28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.2%)
$128.75
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 56.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.76
Bull Case
$321.69
(+53%)
Analyst growth 38.1%, PE expands to 61.9
Base Case
$292.44
(+39%)
Market implied 38.1%, PE stable at 56.3
Bear Case
$143.96
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.4 to 42.0
Stabilization Target:
$218.15
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-19
Kevin James Gorman
SELL
1344 shares
2026-03-02
Gerhard F Burbach
SELL
1983 shares
2026-02-25
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