BWX Technologies (BWXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWXT - BWX Technologies, Inc.
$147.52
1.17 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
-1.73%
30d:
-9.08%
90d:
-28.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Get Alerted When BWXT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.22
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWXT is currently trading at $147.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.13 to $166.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.0) compared to its historical average (39.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $223.63 (+51.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $223.63 (+51.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$149.13 -
$166.02
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.6% below Wall St target ($223.63)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$149.13 -
$166.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.33
Resistance Level
$162.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.01
Wall Street Target
$223.63
(+51.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.0 vs 39.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$119.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$107.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→39)
$150.13
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$202.05
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.1%)
$145.72
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 11.1%)
$123.87
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$219.67
(+49%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$199.70
(+35%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$99.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.0 to 39.1
Stabilization Target:
$205.94
(+39.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BWXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$338 | 63 BUY |
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$275 | 54 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$235 | 69 BUY |
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Securit… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$103 | 74 BUY |
|
GE
GE Aerospace |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$401 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced BWXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWXT price and gamma walls.
