HEICO (HEI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$298.22
1.74 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
-5.63%
30d:
-17.94%
90d:
-11.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$274.21
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$170.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $298.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $308.21 to $357.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.4) compared to its historical average (50.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $293.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.95 (+32.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $293.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.95 (+32.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$308.21 -
$357.95
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.1% below Wall St target ($393.95)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$308.21 -
$357.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$293.57
Resistance Level
$327.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.44
Wall Street Target
$393.95
(+32.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.4 vs 50.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$280.03
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$262.95
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$246.91
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→50)
$298.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.4, Growth: 13.7%)
$438.13
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.7%)
$213.55
(-28%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 13.7%)
$181.52
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.93
Bull Case
$395.74
(+33%)
Analyst growth 21.3%, PE expands to 55.0
Base Case
$359.76
(+21%)
Market implied 21.3%, PE stable at 50.0
Bear Case
$201.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.4 to 50.1
Stabilization Target:
$360.50
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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