HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$329.11
-3.03 (-0.91%)
▼
5d:
+6.37%
30d:
+22.11%
90d:
+2.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HEI is 7.9% above its trading range ($305.12). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HEI is 7.9% above its trading range ($305.12). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$249.20
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$154.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $329.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $268.62 to $305.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 48.4) is in line with its historical norms (50.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $290.00, while resistance sits at $351.99.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.95 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $290.00, while resistance sits at $351.99.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $382.95 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$268.62 -
$305.12
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($382.95)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$268.62 -
$305.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$290.00
Resistance Level
$351.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.43
Wall Street Target
$382.95
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
48.4 vs 50.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$324.50
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$319.96
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$315.48
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48→51)
$328.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$462.24
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$209.12
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 12.0%)
$177.75
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (61x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (48x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 61.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.04
Bull Case
$430.67
(+25%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 67.5
Base Case
$391.51
(+14%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 61.4
Bear Case
$210.39
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 52.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.4 to 50.5
Stabilization Target:
$343.18
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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