HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$355.04
4.46 (1.27%)
â˛
5d:
-5.24%
30d:
+4.26%
90d:
+17.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HEI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HEI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$262.82
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $355.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $346.49 to $368.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.1) is in line with its historical norms (50.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$346.49 -
$368.87
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($389.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$346.49 -
$368.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$350.45
Resistance Level
$376.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
51.13
Wall Street Target
$389.26
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
51.1 vs 50.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$356.11
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$357.17
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$358.24
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 51â51)
PE COMPRESSION
$354.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 51.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$517.69
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$203.20
(-43%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$172.72
(-51%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (65x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (51x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 64.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$495.88
(+40%)
Analyst growth 28.6%, PE expands to 71.4
Base Case
$450.80
(+27%)
Market implied 28.6%, PE stable at 64.9
Bear Case
$238.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 55.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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