GD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GD - General Dynamics Corporation
$350.34
6.98 (2.03%)
▲
5d:
-2.56%
30d:
+3.43%
90d:
+0.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$488.68
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$303.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GD is currently trading at $350.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $337.54 to $354.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $340.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.17 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $340.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.17 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$337.54 -
$354.09
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($393.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$337.54 -
$354.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$340.81
Resistance Level
$367.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.22
Wall Street Target
$393.17
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 19.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$349.29
(0%)
2-Year Target
$348.24
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$347.20
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$350.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$519.33
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$458.28
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$389.54
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.90
Bull Case
$433.00
(+24%)
Analyst growth 14.6%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$393.64
(+12%)
Market implied 14.6%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$233.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$353.63
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark Lagrand Burns
SELL
10153 shares
2026-03-11
Phebe N Novakovic
SELL
32918 shares
2026-03-11
Marguerite Amy Gilliland
SELL
3819 shares
2026-03-11
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