General Dynamics (GD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GD - General Dynamics Corporation
$353.05
-2.90 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
-0.8%
30d:
-10.01%
90d:
+0.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$506.47
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$314.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GD is currently trading at $353.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $358.83 to $389.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $349.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $422.30 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $349.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $422.30 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$358.83 -
$389.71
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($422.30)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$358.83 -
$389.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$349.84
Resistance Level
$366.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.97
Wall Street Target
$422.30
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$348.81
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$344.63
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$340.49
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$351.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.6%)
$494.44
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.6%)
$464.28
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 9.6%)
$394.64
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.23
Bull Case
$449.03
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$408.21
(+16%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$242.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$364.81
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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