Target Price Playground
ADI
$370.24
๐ข
ADI IV: 40.6% โ LOW
(-61.0% vs 30d avg of 104.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $415 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $370 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.4 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADI hits $415 by Oct 16: the long call returns +$2,160 (92.3%) on $2,340 risked, vs +$4,476 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $37,024. Options give 7.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADI is at $415. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADI hits $415 by Oct 16
+$2,160
+92.3% on $2,340 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,340
Premium paid
Break-even
$393.40
+6.26% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.12 / -20.95 / 57.45
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADI Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $296 (-20%) | -$2,120 | -$2,249 | -$2,330 | -$2,340 |
| $315 (-15%) | -$1,854 | -$2,081 | -$2,282 | -$2,340 |
| $333 (-10%) | -$1,406 | -$1,738 | -$2,112 | -$2,340 |
| $352 (-5%) | -$739 | -$1,154 | -$1,690 | -$2,340 |
| $363 (-2%) | -$225 | -$670 | -$1,266 | -$2,340 |
| $370 (0%) โ spot | +$164 | -$291 | -$904 | -$2,316 |
| $378 (+2%) | +$589 | +$132 | -$480 | -$1,576 |
| $389 (+5%) | +$1,293 | +$846 | +$266 | -$465 |
| $407 (+10%) | +$2,621 | +$2,219 | +$1,747 | +$1,386 |
| $415 (+12%) โ target | +$3,226 | +$2,850 | +$2,431 | +$2,160 |
| $426 (+15%) | +$4,110 | +$3,773 | +$3,427 | +$3,238 |
| $444 (+20%) | +$5,721 | +$5,450 | +$5,210 | +$5,089 |
Uses ADI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.