Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $160 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.2 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $150 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.0 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $140 by Oct 16: the bear put spread returns +$580 (138.1%) on $420 risked, vs $-2,074 (-12.9%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 10.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $140 by Oct 16
+$580
+138.1% on $420 risked
Max Profit
+$580
If the stock โค $150 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$420
Net debit
Break-even
$155.80
-3.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-14.52 / -1.11 / 3.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | +$421 | +$464 | +$531 | +$580 |
| $137 (-15%) | +$336 | +$375 | +$451 | +$580 |
| $140 (-13%) โ target | +$296 | +$330 | +$401 | +$580 |
| $145 (-10%) | +$237 | +$261 | +$317 | +$580 |
| $153 (-5%) | +$131 | +$134 | +$144 | +$310 |
| $158 (-2%) | +$67 | +$57 | +$36 | -$173 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | +$26 | +$7 | -$34 | -$420 |
| $164 (+2%) | -$14 | -$41 | -$98 | -$420 |
| $169 (+5%) | -$71 | -$107 | -$183 | -$420 |
| $177 (+10%) | -$154 | -$202 | -$290 | -$420 |
| $185 (+15%) | -$224 | -$275 | -$355 | -$420 |
| $193 (+20%) | -$279 | -$327 | -$391 | -$420 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.