Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $180 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $160 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.2 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $175 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.85 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $180 by Oct 16: the bull call spread returns +$965 (180.4%) on $535 risked, vs +$1,926 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 15.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $180. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $180 by Oct 16
+$965
+180.4% on $535 risked
Max Profit
+$965
If the stock โฅ $175 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$535
Net debit
Break-even
$165.35
+2.87% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
20.21 / -0.95 / 2.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | -$419 | -$467 | -$520 | -$535 |
| $137 (-15%) | -$335 | -$394 | -$481 | -$535 |
| $145 (-10%) | -$224 | -$283 | -$391 | -$535 |
| $153 (-5%) | -$93 | -$136 | -$233 | -$535 |
| $158 (-2%) | -$7 | -$36 | -$106 | -$535 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | +$51 | +$34 | -$13 | -$461 |
| $164 (+2%) | +$110 | +$105 | +$84 | -$140 |
| $169 (+5%) | +$198 | +$212 | +$234 | +$343 |
| $177 (+10%) | +$339 | +$381 | +$467 | +$965 |
| $180 (+12%) โ target | +$392 | +$444 | +$548 | +$965 |
| $185 (+15%) | +$468 | +$531 | +$655 | +$965 |
| $193 (+20%) | +$579 | +$655 | +$787 | +$965 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.