Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $155 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $160 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.05 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $155 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.0 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $155 by Oct 16: the diagonal put spread returns +$520 (85.9%) on $605 risked, vs $-574 (-3.6%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 23.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $155. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $155 by Oct 16
+$520
+85.9% on $605 risked
Max Profit
+$507
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$577
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$166.65
+3.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.22 / 1.08 / 6.99
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | -$44 | -$30 | -$30 | -$95 |
| $137 (-15%) | -$23 | +$10 | +$49 | +$10 |
| $145 (-10%) | -$19 | +$29 | +$108 | +$195 |
| $153 (-5%) | -$33 | +$20 | +$119 | +$479 |
| $155 (-4%) โ target | -$41 | +$12 | +$111 | +$580 |
| $158 (-2%) | -$51 | -$0 | +$96 | +$449 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | -$67 | -$19 | +$70 | +$297 |
| $164 (+2%) | -$84 | -$41 | +$36 | +$162 |
| $169 (+5%) | -$115 | -$80 | -$26 | -$12 |
| $177 (+10%) | -$172 | -$156 | -$144 | -$230 |
| $185 (+15%) | -$234 | -$236 | -$260 | -$377 |
| $193 (+20%) | -$295 | -$312 | -$359 | -$472 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.