Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $180 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $160 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.2 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $180 by Oct 16: the long call returns +$880 (78.6%) on $1,120 risked, vs +$1,926 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 6.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $180. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $180 by Oct 16
+$880
+78.6% on $1,120 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,120
Premium paid
Break-even
$171.20
+6.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.09 / -9.92 / 24.83
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | -$931 | -$1,027 | -$1,103 | -$1,120 |
| $137 (-15%) | -$769 | -$912 | -$1,057 | -$1,120 |
| $145 (-10%) | -$531 | -$717 | -$941 | -$1,120 |
| $153 (-5%) | -$208 | -$426 | -$713 | -$1,120 |
| $158 (-2%) | +$27 | -$202 | -$510 | -$1,120 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | +$201 | -$31 | -$346 | -$1,046 |
| $164 (+2%) | +$388 | +$154 | -$159 | -$725 |
| $169 (+5%) | +$693 | +$463 | +$162 | -$242 |
| $177 (+10%) | +$1,256 | +$1,043 | +$784 | +$561 |
| $180 (+12%) โ target | +$1,498 | +$1,294 | +$1,056 | +$880 |
| $185 (+15%) | +$1,882 | +$1,694 | +$1,489 | +$1,365 |
| $193 (+20%) | +$2,556 | +$2,397 | +$2,244 | +$2,169 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.