Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $160 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.2 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $140 by Oct 16: the long put returns +$980 (96.1%) on $1,020 risked, vs $-2,074 (-12.9%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 7.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $140 by Oct 16
+$980
+96.1% on $1,020 risked
Max Profit
+$14,980
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,020
Premium paid
Break-even
$149.80
-6.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.64 / -9.57 / 24.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | +$2,200 | +$2,140 | +$2,100 | +$2,121 |
| $137 (-15%) | +$1,557 | +$1,450 | +$1,342 | +$1,317 |
| $140 (-13%) โ target | +$1,310 | +$1,184 | +$1,043 | +$980 |
| $145 (-10%) | +$992 | +$841 | +$654 | +$513 |
| $153 (-5%) | +$511 | +$329 | +$79 | -$290 |
| $158 (-2%) | +$264 | +$71 | -$200 | -$773 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | +$117 | -$80 | -$357 | -$1,020 |
| $164 (+2%) | -$17 | -$215 | -$492 | -$1,020 |
| $169 (+5%) | -$195 | -$390 | -$654 | -$1,020 |
| $177 (+10%) | -$435 | -$613 | -$834 | -$1,020 |
| $185 (+15%) | -$613 | -$766 | -$934 | -$1,020 |
| $193 (+20%) | -$743 | -$866 | -$983 | -$1,020 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.