Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $180 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $160.74 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $180 by Oct 16: the long stock returns +$1,926 (12.0%) on $16,074 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Oct 16.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $180 by Oct 16
+$1,926
+12.0% on $16,074 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$16,074
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$160.74
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 20 | Oct 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | -$3,215 | -$3,215 | -$3,215 |
| $137 (-15%) | -$2,411 | -$2,411 | -$2,411 |
| $145 (-10%) | -$1,607 | -$1,607 | -$1,607 |
| $153 (-5%) | -$804 | -$804 | -$804 |
| $158 (-2%) | -$321 | -$321 | -$321 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $164 (+2%) | +$321 | +$321 | +$321 |
| $169 (+5%) | +$804 | +$804 | +$804 |
| $177 (+10%) | +$1,607 | +$1,607 | +$1,607 |
| $180 (+12%) โ target | +$1,926 | +$1,926 | +$1,926 |
| $185 (+15%) | +$2,411 | +$2,411 | +$2,411 |
| $193 (+20%) | +$3,215 | +$3,215 | +$3,215 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.