Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $175 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $160.74 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $155 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.0 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $175 by Oct 16: the protective put returns +$626 (3.7%) on $16,874 risked, vs +$1,426 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $175. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $175 by Oct 16
+$626
+3.7% on $16,874 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,374
Put floors you at $155
Break-even
$168.74
+4.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
61.69 / -8.94 / 24.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | -$1,225 | -$1,307 | -$1,377 | -$1,374 |
| $137 (-15%) | -$1,024 | -$1,152 | -$1,299 | -$1,374 |
| $145 (-10%) | -$739 | -$905 | -$1,124 | -$1,374 |
| $153 (-5%) | -$364 | -$552 | -$815 | -$1,374 |
| $158 (-2%) | -$97 | -$289 | -$557 | -$1,121 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | +$98 | -$94 | -$358 | -$800 |
| $164 (+2%) | +$305 | +$117 | -$137 | -$479 |
| $169 (+5%) | +$639 | +$460 | +$230 | +$4 |
| $175 (+9%) โ target | +$1,104 | +$942 | +$752 | +$626 |
| $177 (+10%) | +$1,246 | +$1,090 | +$912 | +$807 |
| $185 (+15%) | +$1,908 | +$1,781 | +$1,656 | +$1,611 |
| $193 (+20%) | +$2,612 | +$2,514 | +$2,433 | +$2,415 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.