Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 48.8% โ LOW
(-36.9% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $185 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $160 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.2 ยท ฮ 0.54
LONG PUT ยท $160 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.2 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $185 by Oct 16: the long straddle returns +$360 (16.8%) on $2,140 risked, vs +$2,426 (15.1%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $185. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $185 by Oct 16
+$360
+16.8% on $2,140 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,140
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$181.40
+12.85% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.46 / -19.49 / 49.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | +$1,269 | +$1,113 | +$997 | +$1,001 |
| $137 (-15%) | +$788 | +$538 | +$285 | +$197 |
| $145 (-10%) | +$460 | +$123 | -$287 | -$607 |
| $153 (-5%) | +$303 | -$98 | -$634 | -$1,410 |
| $158 (-2%) | +$292 | -$131 | -$710 | -$1,893 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | +$318 | -$112 | -$703 | -$2,066 |
| $164 (+2%) | +$371 | -$61 | -$651 | -$1,745 |
| $169 (+5%) | +$498 | +$73 | -$492 | -$1,262 |
| $177 (+10%) | +$822 | +$430 | -$50 | -$459 |
| $185 (+15%) โ target | +$1,278 | +$939 | +$568 | +$360 |
| $193 (+20%) | +$1,814 | +$1,531 | +$1,261 | +$1,149 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.