Target Price Playground
QCOM
$160.74
๐ข
QCOM IV: 49.2% โ LOW
(-36.3% vs 30d avg of 77.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $175 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $160.74 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $175 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.85 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QCOM hits $175 by Oct 16: the covered call returns +$2,011 (13.0%) on $15,489 risked, vs +$1,426 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $16,074. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QCOM is at $175. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QCOM hits $175 by Oct 16
+$2,011
+13.0% on $15,489 risked
Max Profit
+$2,011
If the stock โฅ $175 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$15,489
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$154.89
-3.64% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
66.12 / 8.97 / -22.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QCOM Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $129 (-20%) | -$2,703 | -$2,655 | -$2,632 | -$2,630 |
| $137 (-15%) | -$1,976 | -$1,893 | -$1,835 | -$1,826 |
| $145 (-10%) | -$1,300 | -$1,172 | -$1,057 | -$1,022 |
| $153 (-5%) | -$689 | -$514 | -$323 | -$219 |
| $158 (-2%) | -$356 | -$156 | +$83 | +$264 |
| $161 (0%) โ spot | -$150 | +$65 | +$333 | +$585 |
| $164 (+2%) | +$43 | +$271 | +$565 | +$906 |
| $169 (+5%) | +$310 | +$553 | +$876 | +$1,389 |
| $175 (+9%) โ target | +$611 | +$865 | +$1,208 | +$2,011 |
| $177 (+10%) | +$690 | +$945 | +$1,290 | +$2,011 |
| $185 (+15%) | +$997 | +$1,248 | +$1,577 | +$2,011 |
| $193 (+20%) | +$1,238 | +$1,472 | +$1,759 | +$2,011 |
Uses QCOM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.