Why is FLY Down Today?

FLY
$20.59
▼ -3.63% ($-0.75)
Last updated: Sep 15, 2026 8:34 PM ET

About Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock

Firefly Aerospace Inc is a space and defense technology company with an established track record of success providing comprehensive mission solutions to national security, government, and commercial customers. The company enables government and commercial customers to launch, land and operate in spa...

Sector: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
Market Cap: $3.91B
52-Week Range: $16.00 - $62.17

Overall Confidence: 60%

60% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SYMPATHY 60% Confidence
🎯 Outperforming sector by 4.4%
This stock is significantly underperforming its GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.9x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS sector: +0.8%

FLY is outperforming its sector by -4.4%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

FLY is significantly underperforming the market (-3.2% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.46%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
-0.65%
FLY
This Stock
-3.63%
vs S&P 500: -3.17%
vs Nasdaq: -2.98%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, FLY is expected to trade between:
$19.97 - $21.00

Key Level to Watch

$19.56 support
Watch for breakdown below $20.59

🔔 Get FLY Alerts

We'll notify you when FLY's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Sep 15, 2026 8:34 PM (-193 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.47
Put/Call Ratio
128.0%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 6,329
Put Volume: 2,994
Total: 9,323

Historical Context

FLY has moved more than 3.0% down on 82 occasions in the past year.

50.0%
Continuation Rate
41/82 times continued down
+0.19%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 10, 2026 (-4.2%) → Next day: +1.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is FLY stock down today?

This stock is significantly underperforming its GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

Is FLY stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, FLY shows 60% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the FLY stock price target?

FLY is currently trading at $20.59. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $19.97 - $21.00. See long-term price prediction →

Will FLY stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that FLY's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $19.56 (support).

Is FLY stock oversold or overbought?

FLY's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 39.7. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for FLY stock?

FLY's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.54. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is FLY outperforming or underperforming the market?

FLY (-3.63%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-3.2% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.46%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is down -0.65%.

What does MACD indicate for FLY?

FLY's MACD (-0.81) is currently below the signal line (-0.74), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 19.7) is weak.

Is FLY in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, FLY is in a bearish trend. The price ($20.59) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($22.24) and 50-day SMA ($22.52). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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