Why is FLY Down Today?

FLY
$22.11
▼ -5.21% ($-1.15)
Last updated: Oct 05, 2026 8:32 PM ET (51 min ago)

About Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock

Firefly Aerospace Inc is a space and defense technology company with an established track record of success providing comprehensive mission solutions to national security, government, and commercial customers. The company enables government and commercial customers to launch, land and operate in spa...

Sector: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
Market Cap: $3.91B
52-Week Range: $16.00 - $62.17

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS sector is down 3.2% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.8x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS sector: -3.2%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

FLY is significantly underperforming the market (-5.9% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.67%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.88%
FLY
This Stock
-5.21%
vs S&P 500: -5.88%
vs Nasdaq: -6.09%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, FLY is expected to trade between:
$21.44 - $22.55

Key Level to Watch

$21.00 support
Watch for breakdown below $22.11

Quick Trade Ideas

Options strategies to consider for FLY's -5% move

📊

No Options Available

FLY doesn't have listed options or options data is currently unavailable.

Try another stock in our Options Calculator →
Disclaimer: These are educational examples only, not investment advice. Options involve significant risk including total loss of premium. Prices shown are estimates and may differ from actual market prices. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance.

🔔 Get FLY Alerts

We'll notify you when FLY's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 05, 2026 8:32 PM (51 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.41
Put/Call Ratio
126.5%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 10,899
Put Volume: 4,523
Total: 15,422
Unusual Activity: $25 CALL (1,308 vol) $25 CALL (1,302 vol) $25 CALL (1,202 vol)

Historical Context

FLY has moved more than 3.0% down on 80 occasions in the past year.

47.5%
Continuation Rate
38/80 times continued down
+0.64%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 29, 2026 (-5.2%) → Next day: +1.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is FLY stock down today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS sector is down 3.2% on average.

Is FLY stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, FLY shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the FLY stock price target?

FLY is currently trading at $22.11. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $21.44 - $22.55. See long-term price prediction →

Will FLY stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that FLY's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $21.00 (support).

Is FLY stock oversold or overbought?

FLY's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 49.3. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for FLY stock?

FLY's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.23. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is FLY outperforming or underperforming the market?

FLY (-5.21%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-5.9% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.67%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.88%.

What does MACD indicate for FLY?

FLY's MACD (0.15) is currently above the signal line (0.01), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 14.0) is weak.

Is FLY in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, FLY is in a mixed/transitional trend. The price and moving averages are not clearly aligned, suggesting a potential trend change or consolidation phase. 20-day SMA: $22.3, 50-day SMA: $22.76.

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