Firefly Aerospace (FLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLY - Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock
$23.77
0.92 (4.03%)
â˛
5d:
-2.42%
30d:
+12.81%
90d:
-15.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FLY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FLY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLY is currently trading at $23.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.95 to $23.10.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.48, while resistance sits at $25.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.60 (+68.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.48, while resistance sits at $25.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.60 (+68.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.95 -
$23.10
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.4%
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Holding FLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.9% below Wall St target ($38.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.95 -
$23.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.48
Resistance Level
$25.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-12.71
Wall Street Target
$38.60
(+68.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
656.9%
Profit Margin
-129.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Leigh Wheeler
SELL
3766 shares
2026-04-17
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