FLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FLY - Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock

GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
$27.21
-1.75 (-6.04%) ▼
5d: -18.44%
30d: -36.51%
90d: +13.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FLY Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FLY shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLY is currently trading at $27.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.79 to $47.98.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: FLY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.22 (+77.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $31.79 - $47.98
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 77.2% below Wall St target ($48.22)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-18.4%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.79 - $47.98
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.62
Resistance Level $39.53
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -21.13
Wall Street Target $48.22 (+77.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 44.8%
Profit Margin -193.8%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Leigh Wheeler SELL 3766 shares 2026-04-17

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Advanced FLY Option Strategies

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