FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock
GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
Firefly Aerospace (FLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$25.48
+1.78 (+7.51%)
▲
5d:
+48.48%
30d:
+38.93%
90d:
-4.82%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
0d
Protect FLY Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$16.60 – $21.92
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
-13.2x
Next 12M consensus est.
Wall Street Target
$35.73
+50.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.45 / $26.59
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FLY is 16.2% above its trading range ($21.92). While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $17.29 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 8.5/10
Get Alerted When FLY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLY is currently trading at $25.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.60 to $21.92.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.45, while resistance sits at $26.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.73 (+50.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.45, while resistance sits at $26.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.73 (+50.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.60 -
$21.92
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.60 -
$21.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$14.45
Resistance Level
$26.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.7% below Wall St target ($35.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-13.18
Wall Street Target
$35.73
(+50.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
656.9%
Profit Margin
-129.1%
Share FLY Analysis
Share this live FLY analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FLY)
Bullish
14 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
13 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Firefly Aerospace signed a multi-launch deal with Synspective, with growing customer confidence in Alpha Block II due to its 1-ton payload capacity and responsive launch capabilities.
Key Retail Themes:
Company news
Launch agreements
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$233 | 67 BUY |
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Securit… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$88 | 58 HOLD |
|
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$212 | 53 HOLD |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$296 | 45 HOLD |
|
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corpora… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$636 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced FLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLY price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive FLY Research Pages