AMBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMBC - Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
$9.03
-0.05 (-0.55%)
âŧ
5d:
-8.88%
30d:
+9.32%
90d:
+6.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 19, 2025 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMBC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMBC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMBC is currently trading at $9.03, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 311.2) compared to its historical average (363.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.13, while resistance sits at $10.38.
Market Sentiment: AMBC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.33 (+109.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.13, while resistance sits at $10.38.
Market Sentiment: AMBC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.33 (+109.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 109.9% below Wall St target ($16.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.13
Resistance Level
$10.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 18, 2025
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
311.20
Wall Street Target
$16.33
(+109.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
311.2 vs 363.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.39
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$7.02
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$6.67
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 311â363)
$7.78
(+0%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 311.2 to 363.2
Stabilization Target:
$9.08
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMBC showing a specific setup today?
