CCJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCJ - Cameco Corporation

Miscellaneous Metal Ores
$102.51
6.92 (7.24%) ▲
5d: +4.88%
30d: +14.75%
90d: -2.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 18, 2026 at $94.77 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCJ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.84
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCJ is currently trading at $102.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.44 to $97.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.3) compared to its historical average (44.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.22 (+28.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $87.44 - $97.34
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($131.22)
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $87.44 - $97.34
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $93.91
Resistance Level $102.82
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 39.31
Wall Street Target $131.22 (+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -92.1%
Profit Margin 10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 39.3 vs 44.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $98.41 (-4%)
2-Year Target $94.47 (-8%)
3-Year Target $90.69 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 39→44) $102.45 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 39.3, Growth: 76.0%) $345.97 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 76.0%) $176.66 (+72%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 76.0%) $150.16 (+47%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (97x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 97.09 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.06
Bull Case $123.78 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 101.9
Base Case $102.51 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 97.1
Bear Case $78.42 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 87.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.3 to 44.4
Stabilization Target: $115.80 (+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.0%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CCJ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCJ price and gamma walls.

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