PSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSN - Parsons Corporation
$49.05
2.99 (6.49%)
▲
5d:
+2.4%
30d:
-16.1%
90d:
-5.33%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PSN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PSN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.25
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSN is currently trading at $49.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.27 to $56.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PSN scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.55 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: PSN scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.55 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.27 -
$56.47
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PSN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($58.55)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.27 -
$56.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.19
Resistance Level
$49.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.34
Wall Street Target
$58.55
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.9%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 16.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.84
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$44.73
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$42.72
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$49.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 40.7%)
$191.20
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 40.7%)
$136.61
(+179%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 40.7%)
$116.11
(+137%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$101.33
(+107%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$92.12
(+88%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$31.32
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$56.44
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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