AHCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AHCO - AdaptHealth Corp. Common Stock
$10.42
0.20 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
+1.46%
30d:
+4.93%
90d:
-14.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AHCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AHCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.35
21.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AHCO is currently trading at $10.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.71 to $10.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AHCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.74, while resistance sits at $10.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.62 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AHCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.74, while resistance sits at $10.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.62 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.71 -
$10.31
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($13.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.71 -
$10.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.74
Resistance Level
$10.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.70
Wall Street Target
$13.63
(+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
-2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.95
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.70
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$9.44
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$10.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 39.7%)
$69.68
(+582%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 39.7%)
$27.85
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 39.7%)
$23.67
(+132%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.04
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AHCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Richard M Cashin Jr
BUY
447100 shares
2026-03-20
Richard M Cashin Jr
BUY
727 shares
2026-03-19
Richard M Cashin Jr
BUY
689336 shares
2026-03-12
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Advanced AHCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AHCO price and gamma walls.
