AYI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AYI - Acuity Inc.

ELECTRIC LIGHTING & WIRING EQUIPMENT
$343.10
1.45 (0.42%) ▲
5d: -4.28%
30d: +4.93%
90d: +22.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: AYI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$446.66
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$277.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AYI is currently trading at $343.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.91 to $354.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $339.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: AYI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $398.29 (+16.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $330.91 - $354.95
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.5%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($398.29)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $330.91 - $354.95
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$16.49 (4.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $339.99
Resistance Level $367.30
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.82
Wall Street Target $398.29 (+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 46.2%
Profit Margin 10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 15.8 vs 14.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $350.31 (+2%)
2-Year Target $357.66 (+4%)
3-Year Target $365.17 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $344.01 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.4%) $569.74 (+66%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 9.4%) $448.99 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 9.4%) $381.64 (+11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.07
Bull Case $540.97 (+58%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case $491.79 (+43%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case $232.32 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 2:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Laura O'shaughnessy BUY 1000 shares 2026-04-08

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