AYI
Acuity Inc.
ELECTRIC LIGHTING & WIRING EQUIPMENT
Acuity (AYI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$331.94
-2.56 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
+0.21%
30d:
+12.04%
90d:
-7.88%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 01, 2026
0d
Protect AYI Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$302.07 – $327.13
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.1x
FAIR
vs 15.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$370.17
+11.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$313.33 / $342.81
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AYI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$253.30
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$157.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AYI is currently trading at $331.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $302.07 to $327.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $313.32, while resistance sits at $342.81.
Market Sentiment: AYI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $370.17 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $313.32, while resistance sits at $342.81.
Market Sentiment: AYI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $370.17 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$302.07 -
$327.13
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$302.07 -
$327.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$15.70
(4.7%)
Support Level
$313.33
Resistance Level
$342.81
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($370.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.09
Wall Street Target
$370.17
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.7%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$346.88
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$362.49
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$378.80
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$332.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.3%)
$287.50
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: -9.3%)
$247.36
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: -9.3%)
$210.25
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.05
Bull Case
$419.24
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$381.13
(+15%)
Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$227.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AYI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
SCAG announced a strategic cooperation agreement with China Huaye Group. This collaboration could potentially increase SCAG's market presence in China.
Key Retail Themes:
strategic cooperation
China market expansion
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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