Is AYI stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AYI is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: AYI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of AYI stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AYI to be between $308.13 and $341.77. The current price is $315.56.

What is the analyst price target for AYI?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AYI is $398.29. This implies a potential upside of 28.7% from current levels.

Acuity (AYI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AYI - Acuity Inc.

ELECTRIC LIGHTING & WIRING EQUIPMENT

$315.57

6.12 (1.98%) ▲

5d: +4.16%

30d: -7.55%

90d: -12.94%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 01, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AYI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 9.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$446.66

Based on 6.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$277.34

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AYI is currently trading at $315.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $308.13 to $341.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $320.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: AYI scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $398.29 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $308.13 - $341.77

Company Quality Score 68/100 (BUY)

Options IV Signal 1th percentile (LOW)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 92.3%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($398.29)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 13% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $308.13 - $341.77

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$20.86 (6.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $295.76

Resistance Level $320.77

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.27

Wall Street Target $398.29 (+28.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 46.2%

Profit Margin 10.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 14.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $305.43 (-1%)

2-Year Target $301.46 (-3%)

3-Year Target $297.54 (-4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→15) $310.78 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.4%) $577.97 (+87%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.4%) $404.95 (+31%)

Bear: (PE: 12.1, Growth: 9.4%) $344.21 (+11%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 20.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.84

Bull Case $492.13 (+59%)

Analyst growth 46.2%, PE expands to 22.7

Base Case $447.39 (+45%)

Market implied 46.2%, PE stable at 20.6

Bear Case $208.12 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 14.9

Stabilization Target: $323.22 (+4.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +4.4%

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Last updated: September 25, 2026 12:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Laura O'shaughnessy BUY 1000 shares 2026-04-08

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