BMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMA - Banco Macro S.A.
$90.68
-4.31 (-4.54%)
▼
5d:
-3.88%
30d:
+3.46%
90d:
+13.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$570026.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$353941.91
100.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMA is currently trading at $90.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.93 to $97.07. At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $87.63, while resistance sits at $96.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.49 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $87.63, while resistance sits at $96.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.49 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$87.93 -
$97.07
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($113.49)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 18.1% growth with -99.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.93 -
$97.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.63
Resistance Level
$96.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.01
Wall Street Target
$113.49
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-99.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.4%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+18.1% premium
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+18.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.09
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$126.48
(+40%)
3-Year Target
$149.37
(+65%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 52.0%)
$1075848.86
(+1186324%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 52.0%)
$306.05
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 52.0%)
$260.14
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.88
Bull Case
$197.60
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$179.64
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$61.08
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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