BMRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$27.73
0.39 (1.43%)
▲
5d:
+4.13%
30d:
-3.48%
90d:
+6.65%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.30
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $27.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.95 to $28.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.80 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.80 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.95 -
$28.83
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.95 -
$28.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.87
Resistance Level
$27.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.56
Wall Street Target
$31.80
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
275.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-23.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.15
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$28.57
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$29.00
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$58.37
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 6.4%)
$33.36
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 6.4%)
$28.36
(+2%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 2:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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