BMRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$28.94
1.24 (4.48%)
▲
5d:
+9.04%
30d:
+13.85%
90d:
+12.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.33
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $28.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.43 to $27.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.43 -
$27.08
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.43 -
$27.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.44
Resistance Level
$28.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.08
Wall Street Target
$28.80
(-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-90.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.01
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.12
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$32.27
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$69.65
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$38.64
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 10.1%)
$32.84
(+14%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 2:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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