Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$29.05
-0.16 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
+0.59%
30d:
+5.94%
90d:
-0.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BMRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BMRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.37
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $29.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.47 to $28.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.47 -
$28.30
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.47 -
$28.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.46
Resistance Level
$29.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$31.60
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Profit Margin
-18.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.72
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$30.40
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$31.10
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.2%)
$53.34
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 3.2%)
$31.93
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 3.2%)
$27.14
(-7%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 04, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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