BMRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$28.50
0.07 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
+2.63%
30d:
+13.61%
90d:
+10.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.33
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $28.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.44 to $27.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.72, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.72, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.44 -
$27.49
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.44 -
$27.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.72
Resistance Level
$30.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.90
Wall Street Target
$28.80
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-90.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.38
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.29
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$31.23
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.35
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$69.65
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$38.05
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$32.34
(+14%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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