BMRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$28.30
-0.15 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
-0.7%
30d:
+8.22%
90d:
+5.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BMRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.66
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $28.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.83 to $28.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.70, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.70, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: BMRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.83 -
$28.10
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.83 -
$28.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.70
Resistance Level
$30.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.82
Wall Street Target
$28.80
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-90.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.09
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$29.91
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$30.74
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.36
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$69.65
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$37.79
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 10.1%)
$32.12
(+14%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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