Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$27.59
0.33 (1.21%)
â˛
5d:
-1.15%
30d:
+2.03%
90d:
-3.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BMRC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BMRC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.72
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $27.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.93 to $27.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.45, while resistance sits at $28.70.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.80 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.45, while resistance sits at $28.70.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.80 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.93 -
$27.95
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.93 -
$27.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.45
Resistance Level
$28.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.28
Wall Street Target
$31.80
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
275.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-23.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.40
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.53
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$27.67
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.6%)
$59.75
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 6.6%)
$33.04
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 6.6%)
$28.08
(+3%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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