Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMRC - Bank of Marin Bancorp
$27.34
0.70 (2.63%)
▲
5d:
+3.6%
30d:
-0.87%
90d:
-4.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.62
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMRC is currently trading at $27.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.62 to $27.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $27.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.60 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $27.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BMRC scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.60 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.62 -
$27.90
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 76/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.62 -
$27.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.45
Resistance Level
$27.49
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$31.60
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
275.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.7%
Profit Margin
-23.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.53
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.72
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$27.92
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.5%)
$58.01
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 6.5%)
$33.06
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$28.11
(+3%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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