BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation
$24.04
0.44 (1.86%)
▲
5d:
+6.04%
30d:
-8.8%
90d:
-15.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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1 traders called BTU this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.55
47.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $24.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.75 to $26.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.83 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.83 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.75 -
$26.32
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($32.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.75 -
$26.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.96
Resistance Level
$24.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.38
Wall Street Target
$32.83
(+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.64
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→10)
$27.47
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 428.8%)
$276.94
(+1052%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 428.8%)
$81.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 428.8%)
$68.96
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$37.67
(+56.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Ronald Yeates
SELL
13892 shares
2026-02-10
Advanced BTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.
