BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation
$30.11
0.49 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+14.31%
30d:
+13.54%
90d:
-15.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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1 traders called BTU this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: BTU is 8.4% above its trading range ($27.78). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: BTU is 8.4% above its trading range ($27.78). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.22
36.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $30.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.88 to $27.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.33 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.33 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.88 -
$27.78
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.88 -
$27.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.19
Resistance Level
$30.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.25
Wall Street Target
$34.33
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.58
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$25.26
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$23.14
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$30.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 225.9%)
$269.90
(+796%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 225.9%)
$101.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 225.9%)
$86.38
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$39.06
(+29.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Ronald Yeates
SELL
13892 shares
2026-02-10
Scott T Jarboe
SELL
2151 shares
2026-01-14
Advanced BTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.
