Peabody Energy (BTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation
$24.81
0.07 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
-2.48%
30d:
-15.7%
90d:
+9.39%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.98
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $24.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.57 to $28.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.75, while resistance sits at $27.07.
Market Sentiment: BTU scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.58 (+27.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.75, while resistance sits at $27.07.
Market Sentiment: BTU scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.58 (+27.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.57 -
$28.98
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($31.58)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.57 -
$28.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.75
Resistance Level
$27.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.70
Wall Street Target
$31.58
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
-4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.07
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$23.34
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$22.64
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$24.74
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$27.11
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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