Peabody Energy (BTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING
$28.21
-0.82 (-2.82%) â–ŧ
5d: +2.06%
30d: +14.4%
90d: +7.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 9, 2026 at $29.94 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 5.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BTU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.85
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.50
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $28.21, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.21 to $29.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.30, while resistance sits at $30.41.

Market Sentiment: BTU scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $24.21 - $29.01
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 12.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.21 - $29.01
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.30
Resistance Level $30.41
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.92
Wall Street Target $30.75 (+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -62.6%
Profit Margin -4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.3% premium
PE vs Historical 9.9 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.58 (+1%)
2-Year Target $28.95 (+3%)
3-Year Target $29.32 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $28.08 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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