FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$62.63
-0.81 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
+0.05%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
+8.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 27% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 27% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.97
29.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $62.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.42 to $63.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.19, while resistance sits at $65.43.
Market Sentiment: FCX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.73 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.19, while resistance sits at $65.43.
Market Sentiment: FCX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.73 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$59.42 -
$63.98
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.42 -
$63.98
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.19
Resistance Level
$65.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.32
Wall Street Target
$71.73
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.37
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$56.29
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$53.36
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$62.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 36.3%)
$214.75
(+243%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 36.3%)
$158.72
(+153%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 36.3%)
$134.91
(+115%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case
$132.06
(+111%)
Analyst growth 89.2%, PE expands to 32.3
Base Case
$120.06
(+92%)
Market implied 89.2%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$43.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.58
(+17.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
29654 shares
2026-02-20
Ellie L Mikes
SELL
11000 shares
2026-02-18
Maree E Robertson
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48500 shares
2026-02-13
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