HAYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$15.13
-0.24 (-1.56%)
▼
5d:
+4.85%
30d:
-10.84%
90d:
+0.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HAYW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HAYW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.59
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $15.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.54 to $16.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.92, while resistance sits at $16.41.
Market Sentiment: HAYW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.79 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.92, while resistance sits at $16.41.
Market Sentiment: HAYW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.79 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.54 -
$16.47
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.54 -
$16.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.92
Resistance Level
$16.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.67
Wall Street Target
$17.79
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.80
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$14.47
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$14.15
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$15.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$28.07
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$21.22
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 11.9%)
$18.04
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$22.36
(+48%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$20.33
(+34%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$10.45
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$16.12
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-04-01
Eifion Jones
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-09
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-03-02
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