HAYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$15.58
-0.34 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
-7.37%
30d:
+10.42%
90d:
+8.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.17
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $15.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.45 to $16.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.21 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.21 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.45 -
$16.51
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.21)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.45 -
$16.51
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.66
Resistance Level
$14.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.34
Wall Street Target
$17.21
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.1%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.42
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$15.27
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$15.12
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$15.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$28.74
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 11.4%)
$21.56
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$18.33
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$22.77
(+43%)
Analyst growth 28.8%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$20.70
(+30%)
Market implied 28.8%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$10.93
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$16.02
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-04-01
Eifion Jones
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-09
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-03-02
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