HAYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$14.71
-0.12 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
+0.96%
30d:
+7.61%
90d:
+6.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.29
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $14.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.70 to $14.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HAYW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.31 (+16.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HAYW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.31 (+16.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.70 -
$14.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.70 -
$14.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.66
Resistance Level
$14.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.51
Wall Street Target
$17.31
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.1%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.43
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$14.04
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$13.66
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$14.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$28.88
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 11.5%)
$20.57
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 11.5%)
$17.49
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$21.61
(+46%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$19.64
(+32%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$10.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$16.06
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-04-01
Eifion Jones
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-09
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-03-02
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