HAYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$14.58
-0.14 (-0.95%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.83%
30d:
+1.18%
90d:
+6.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HAYW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HAYW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.70
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.71
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $14.58, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.49 to $15.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HAYW scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HAYW scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.49 -
$15.64
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($17.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.49 -
$15.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.51
Resistance Level
$15.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.07
Wall Street Target
$17.93
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.10
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$13.63
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$13.18
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â17)
$14.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$27.31
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$20.51
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$17.43
(+20%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$22.38
(+54%)
Analyst growth 38.2%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$20.34
(+40%)
Market implied 38.2%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$10.01
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$16.16
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
52389 shares
2026-04-01
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SELL
15000 shares
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52389 shares
2026-03-02
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