Hayward (HAYW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$12.71
0.65 (5.39%)
▲
5d:
+8.26%
30d:
-0.31%
90d:
-11.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.33
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.25
4.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $12.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.76 to $12.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+36.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+36.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$11.76 -
$12.79
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.8% below Wall St target ($16.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.76 -
$12.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.24
Resistance Level
$12.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.70
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+36.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 16.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.16
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$10.32
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$9.54
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$12.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$25.16
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$16.09
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$13.68
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$17.28
(+43%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$15.71
(+30%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$8.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$15.19
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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