Hayward (HAYW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$12.24
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-2.24%
30d:
-10.07%
90d:
-27.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When HAYW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HAYW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HAYW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.36
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.50
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $12.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.55 to $13.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HAYW scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+46.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HAYW scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+46.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.55 -
$13.95
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.5% below Wall St target ($17.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.55 -
$13.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.02
Resistance Level
$13.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.61
Wall Street Target
$17.93
(+46.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.24
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$10.31
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$9.47
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$12.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.3%)
$28.01
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 12.3%)
$17.32
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 12.3%)
$14.72
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.71
Bull Case
$18.40
(+50%)
Analyst growth 36.7%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$16.73
(+37%)
Market implied 36.7%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$8.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$15.82
(+29.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electrical Equipment & Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$338 | 65 BUY |
|
ENVX
Enovix Corp |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$11 | 70 BUY |
|
BE
Bloom Energy Corp |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$280 | 49 HOLD |
|
NVT
nVent Electric PLC |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$205 | 42 HOLD |
|
PLUG
Plug Power Inc |
SELL
20 analysts |
$4 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced HAYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAYW price and gamma walls.
