GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD DEEP SEA FOREIGN TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT

GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING (GNK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$26.14
-0.27 (-1.02%) â–ŧ
5d: +0.54% 30d: +4.85% 90d: -0.31%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (76%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$24.96 – $26.77
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.9x FAIR
vs 14.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$29.72
+13.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$24.40 / $26.79
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: GNK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.87
Based on -14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.37
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GNK is currently trading at $26.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.96 to $26.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GNK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.72 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $24.96 - $26.77
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $24.96 - $26.77
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$0.76 (2.9%)
Support Level $24.40
Resistance Level $26.79
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.72)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.87
Wall Street Target $29.72 (+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 90.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.7%
Profit Margin 15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.9 vs 14.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.85 (-1%)
2-Year Target $25.57 (-2%)
3-Year Target $25.29 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $26.06 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -32.3%) $27.28 (+4%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: -32.3%) $19.06 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 11.8, Growth: -32.3%) $16.20 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case $30.41 (+16%)
Analyst growth 4.7%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case $27.64 (+6%)
Market implied 4.7%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case $17.96 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 14.3
Stabilization Target: $26.94 (+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GNK)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment is prevalent on StockTwits regarding $GNK with no newsworthy events or articles currently impacting the stock.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment Absence of newsworthy events
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 6:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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