MU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MU - Micron Technology, Inc.
$937.00
-42.30 (-4.32%)
▼
5d:
-4.85%
30d:
+5.06%
90d:
+122.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 24, 2026
0d
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Smart Money Accumulation
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Strength: 9.0/10
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83 traders called MU this week
77% bullish • 26 bearish
77% bullish • 26 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2651.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1646.52
43.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MU is currently trading at $937.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $932.89 to $1116.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1368.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $891.66, while resistance sits at $1168.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1486.00 (+58.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $891.66, while resistance sits at $1168.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1486.00 (+58.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$932.89 -
$1116.75
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.6% below Wall St target ($1486.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$932.89 -
$1116.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$891.66
Resistance Level
$1168.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.26
Wall Street Target
$1486.00
(+58.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
345.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1368.5%
Profit Margin
55.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$843.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$758.97
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$683.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$992.69
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 104.1%)
$10999.55
(+1074%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 104.1%)
$3162.38
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 104.1%)
$2688.02
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $44.26
Bull Case
$2154.46
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$1958.60
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$665.92
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$1361.71
(+45.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sumit Sadana
SELL
24000 shares
2026-04-10
April S Arnzen
SELL
40000 shares
2026-04-01
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-30
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