SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$111.12
-0.03 (-0.03%)
▼
5d:
+3.45%
30d:
+5.83%
90d:
+30.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SE is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SE is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$196.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.90
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $111.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.28 to $110.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.26 (+28.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.26 (+28.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$98.28 -
$110.00
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($142.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.28 -
$110.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.59
Resistance Level
$111.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.17
Wall Street Target
$142.26
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.93
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$118.84
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$122.88
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$111.45
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.2, Growth: 35.6%)
$277.05
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 35.6%)
$271.31
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 35.6%)
$230.61
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$234.83
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.2
Base Case
$213.48
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.0
Bear Case
$72.58
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 11:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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