Target Price Playground
APP
$331.46
๐ก
APP IV: 65.1% โ NORMAL
(-10.4% vs 30d avg of 72.6%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $370 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $330 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $40.3 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $360 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $26.28 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APP hits $370 by Nov 20: the bull call spread returns +$1,598 (114.0%) on $1,402 risked, vs +$3,854 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $33,146. Options give 9.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APP is at $370. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APP hits $370 by Nov 20
+$1,598
+114.0% on $1,402 risked
Max Profit
+$1,598
If the stock โฅ $360 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,402
Net debit
Break-even
$344.02
+3.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.02 / -1.01 / -2.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APP Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $265 (-20%) | -$942 | -$1,051 | -$1,239 | -$1,402 |
| $282 (-15%) | -$779 | -$881 | -$1,085 | -$1,402 |
| $298 (-10%) | -$599 | -$679 | -$863 | -$1,402 |
| $315 (-5%) | -$408 | -$454 | -$580 | -$1,402 |
| $325 (-2%) | -$291 | -$313 | -$390 | -$1,402 |
| $331 (0%) โ spot | -$212 | -$218 | -$259 | -$1,256 |
| $338 (+2%) | -$133 | -$122 | -$125 | -$593 |
| $348 (+5%) | -$17 | +$20 | +$76 | +$401 |
| $365 (+10%) | +$172 | +$249 | +$397 | +$1,598 |
| $370 (+12%) โ target | +$231 | +$320 | +$494 | +$1,598 |
| $381 (+15%) | +$350 | +$462 | +$683 | +$1,598 |
| $398 (+20%) | +$515 | +$656 | +$924 | +$1,598 |
Uses APP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.