Target Price Playground
APP
$331.46
๐ก
APP IV: 65.1% โ NORMAL
(-10.4% vs 30d avg of 72.6%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $330 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $40.3 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $330 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $36.7 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If APP hits $380 by Nov 20: the long straddle returns $-2,700 (-35.1%) on $7,700 risked, vs +$4,854 (14.6%) for 100 shares on $33,146. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if APP is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if APP hits $380 by Nov 20
$-2,700
-35.1% on $7,700 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$7,700
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$407.00
+22.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.9 / -58.58 / 109.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| APP Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $265 (-20%) | +$865 | +$46 | -$826 | -$1,217 |
| $282 (-15%) | +$264 | -$746 | -$1,960 | -$2,874 |
| $298 (-10%) | -$89 | -$1,256 | -$2,771 | -$4,531 |
| $315 (-5%) | -$194 | -$1,472 | -$3,203 | -$6,189 |
| $325 (-2%) | -$142 | -$1,463 | -$3,269 | -$7,183 |
| $331 (0%) โ spot | -$61 | -$1,400 | -$3,234 | -$7,554 |
| $338 (+2%) | +$56 | -$1,293 | -$3,136 | -$6,891 |
| $348 (+5%) | +$295 | -$1,056 | -$2,880 | -$5,897 |
| $365 (+10%) | +$854 | -$467 | -$2,186 | -$4,239 |
| $380 (+15%) โ target | +$1,535 | +$273 | -$1,290 | -$2,700 |
| $398 (+20%) | +$2,490 | +$1,322 | -$24 | -$925 |
Uses APP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.