Target Price Playground
META
$670.24
๐ข
META IV: 40.2% โ LOW
(-23.6% vs 30d avg of 52.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $670 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $51.5 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $720 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $31.5 ยท ฮ 0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $750 by Nov 20: the bull call spread returns +$3,000 (150.0%) on $2,000 risked, vs +$7,976 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $67,024. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $750. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $750 by Nov 20
+$3,000
+150.0% on $2,000 risked
Max Profit
+$3,000
If the stock โฅ $720 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,000
Net debit
Break-even
$690.00
+2.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.37 / -2.35 / 9.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $536 (-20%) | -$1,696 | -$1,842 | -$1,975 | -$2,000 |
| $570 (-15%) | -$1,421 | -$1,619 | -$1,880 | -$2,000 |
| $603 (-10%) | -$1,033 | -$1,242 | -$1,608 | -$2,000 |
| $637 (-5%) | -$548 | -$711 | -$1,058 | -$2,000 |
| $657 (-2%) | -$227 | -$336 | -$592 | -$2,000 |
| $670 (0%) โ spot | -$5 | -$72 | -$239 | -$1,976 |
| $684 (+2%) | +$218 | +$198 | +$133 | -$636 |
| $704 (+5%) | +$551 | +$602 | +$698 | +$1,375 |
| $737 (+10%) | +$1,076 | +$1,232 | +$1,554 | +$3,000 |
| $750 (+12%) โ target | +$1,261 | +$1,449 | +$1,826 | +$3,000 |
| $771 (+15%) | +$1,540 | +$1,767 | +$2,194 | +$3,000 |
| $804 (+20%) | +$1,925 | +$2,181 | +$2,597 | +$3,000 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.