Target Price Playground
META
$670.24
๐ข
META IV: 40.2% โ LOW
(-23.6% vs 30d avg of 52.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $670 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $51.5 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $750 by Nov 20: the long call returns +$2,850 (55.3%) on $5,150 risked, vs +$7,976 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $67,024. Options give 4.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $750. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $750 by Nov 20
+$2,850
+55.3% on $5,150 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$5,150
Premium paid
Break-even
$721.50
+7.65% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.58 / -41.33 / 111.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $536 (-20%) | -$4,642 | -$4,929 | -$5,122 | -$5,150 |
| $570 (-15%) | -$4,100 | -$4,573 | -$5,009 | -$5,150 |
| $603 (-10%) | -$3,230 | -$3,895 | -$4,652 | -$5,150 |
| $637 (-5%) | -$1,976 | -$2,791 | -$3,838 | -$5,150 |
| $657 (-2%) | -$1,030 | -$1,899 | -$3,051 | -$5,150 |
| $670 (0%) โ spot | -$320 | -$1,207 | -$2,392 | -$5,126 |
| $684 (+2%) | +$453 | -$441 | -$1,627 | -$3,786 |
| $704 (+5%) | +$1,722 | +$844 | -$290 | -$1,775 |
| $737 (+10%) | +$4,103 | +$3,300 | +$2,350 | +$1,576 |
| $750 (+12%) โ target | +$5,086 | +$4,323 | +$3,458 | +$2,850 |
| $771 (+15%) | +$6,765 | +$6,074 | +$5,351 | +$4,928 |
| $804 (+20%) | +$9,643 | +$9,073 | +$8,549 | +$8,279 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.