Target Price Playground
META
$670.24
๐ข
META IV: 40.2% โ LOW
(-23.6% vs 30d avg of 52.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $670.24 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $750 by Nov 20: the long stock returns +$7,976 (11.9%) on $67,024 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Nov 20.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $750 by Nov 20
+$7,976
+11.9% on $67,024 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$67,024
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$670.24
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | Oct 16 | Nov 15 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $536 (-20%) | -$13,405 | -$13,405 | -$13,405 |
| $570 (-15%) | -$10,054 | -$10,054 | -$10,054 |
| $603 (-10%) | -$6,702 | -$6,702 | -$6,702 |
| $637 (-5%) | -$3,351 | -$3,351 | -$3,351 |
| $657 (-2%) | -$1,340 | -$1,340 | -$1,340 |
| $670 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $684 (+2%) | +$1,340 | +$1,340 | +$1,340 |
| $704 (+5%) | +$3,351 | +$3,351 | +$3,351 |
| $737 (+10%) | +$6,702 | +$6,702 | +$6,702 |
| $750 (+12%) โ target | +$7,976 | +$7,976 | +$7,976 |
| $771 (+15%) | +$10,054 | +$10,054 | +$10,054 |
| $804 (+20%) | +$13,405 | +$13,405 | +$13,405 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.