Why is AAOI Up Today?

AAOI
$101.57
▲ +4.91% (+$4.98)
Last updated: Sep 29, 2026 8:32 PM ET

About Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

Applied Optoelectronics Inc is a provider of fiber-optic networking products, for four networking end-markets; internet data center, CATV, telecom, and FTTH. The Company designs and manufactures a wide range of optical communications products at varying levels of integration, from components, subass...

Sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
Market Cap: $1.77B
Forward P/E: 34.2
52-Week Range: $18.50 - $233.67
Employees: 3,309

Overall Confidence: 60%

60% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SYMPATHY 60% Confidence
🎯 Outperforming sector by 4.9%
This stock is significantly outperforming its SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.9x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES sector: +0.0%

AAOI is outperforming its sector by 4.9%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

AAOI is significantly outperforming the market (+5.1% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.19%
AAOI
This Stock
+4.91%
vs S&P 500: +5.09%
vs Nasdaq: +4.72%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, AAOI is expected to trade between:
$99.54 - $104.62

Key Level to Watch

$106.65 resistance
Watch for continuation above $101.57

🔔 Get AAOI Alerts

We'll notify you when AAOI's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Sep 29, 2026 8:32 PM (-26 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.41
Put/Call Ratio
107.3%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 25,053
Put Volume: 10,193
Total: 35,246
Unusual Activity: $110 CALL (3,952 vol) $105 CALL (2,417 vol) $100 CALL (1,544 vol)

Historical Context

AAOI has moved more than 3.0% up on 85 occasions in the past year.

54.1%
Continuation Rate
46/85 times continued up
+0.75%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar up moves
Last similar move: Sep 21, 2026 (3.3%) → Next day: -1.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is AAOI stock up today?

This stock is significantly outperforming its SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

Is AAOI stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, AAOI shows 60% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the AAOI stock price target?

AAOI is currently trading at $101.57. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $99.54 - $104.62. See long-term price prediction →

Will AAOI stock continue rising?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that AAOI's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $106.65 (resistance).

Is AAOI stock oversold or overbought?

AAOI's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 44.7. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for AAOI stock?

AAOI's 10-day momentum indicator is at 5.38. Strong bullish momentum - the stock is gaining significant upward force. This often precedes continued gains.

Is AAOI outperforming or underperforming the market?

AAOI (+4.91%) is currently significantly outperforming the market (+5.1% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.19%.

What does MACD indicate for AAOI?

AAOI's MACD (-3.98) is currently above the signal line (-4.43), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 13.9) is weak.

Is AAOI in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, AAOI is in a bearish trend. The price ($101.57) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($102.41) and 50-day SMA ($111.54). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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