AAOI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAOI - Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 20, 2026 at $129.10 · last confirmed Aug 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AAOI is down 14.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAOI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $102.10, while resistance sits at $160.99. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AAOI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.40 (+51.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.8% below Wall St target ($163.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
Support & Resistance Levels
Fundamental Context
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 PM
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Advanced AAOI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AAOI price and gamma walls.
