AIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIN - Albany International Corp Class A
$71.88
-0.69 (-0.95%)
▼
5d:
-2.84%
30d:
+6.28%
90d:
+25.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.01
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIN is currently trading at $71.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.50 to $74.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $58.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $58.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$69.50 -
$74.09
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 18.4% above Wall St target ($58.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with 7.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.50 -
$74.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.54
Resistance Level
$76.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.10
Wall Street Target
$58.67
(-18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
-4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 19.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.83
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$80.00
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$84.40
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$105.04
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.5%)
$99.03
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.5%)
$84.18
(+17%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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