ELVA
Electrovaya Inc. Common Shares
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
Best Electrical Equipment Stocks 2026 →
ELVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.82
-0.21 (-4.17%)
▼
5d:
+4.1%
30d:
-6.59%
90d:
-39.37%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$4.93 – $5.81
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.1x
CHEAP
vs 26.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.60
+190.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
27th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.42 / $5.60
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.59
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ELVA is currently trading at $4.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.93 to $5.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.42, while resistance sits at $5.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.60 (+190.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.42, while resistance sits at $5.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.60 (+190.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.93 -
$5.81
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.93 -
$5.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.65
(13.5%)
Support Level
$4.42
Resistance Level
$5.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 190.3% below Wall St target ($14.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.07
Wall Street Target
$14.60
(+190.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.3%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 26.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.83
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.64
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$4.45
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$5.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 184.2%)
$16.98
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 184.2%)
$14.61
(+191%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 184.2%)
$12.42
(+147%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 22.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.23
Bull Case
$6.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$5.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$3.85
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$5.69
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ELVA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Electrovaya reported Q3 revenue of $17.7M, up from $17.1M, with gross margin improving to 34.9%. Delays in material-handling projects and supply-chain constraints affected revenue, leading to a revenue outlook revision to $70M-$73M.
Key Retail Themes:
Q3 earnings report
Revenue growth
Delivery delays
Gross margin improvement
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ELVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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