Why is MBI Up Today?

MBI
$4.57
▲ +2.82% (+$0.13)
Last updated: Oct 08, 2026 8:37 PM ET (74 min ago)

About MBIA Inc.

MBIA Inc provides financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds and asset-backed securities in the United States and internationally. It offers an unconditional guarantee to repay the principal and interest on these securities if the issuer defaults. MBIA insures bonds sold in the primary and sec...

Sector: SURETY INSURANCE
Market Cap: $364.53M
Forward P/E: -15.3
52-Week Range: $4.19 - $7.87
Employees: 57

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 SURETY INSURANCE sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The SURETY INSURANCE sector is up 2.2% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.4x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

SURETY INSURANCE sector: +2.2%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most SURETY INSURANCE stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

MBI is significantly outperforming the market (+3.2% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.42%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
-1.34%
MBI
This Stock
+2.82%
vs S&P 500: +3.24%
vs Nasdaq: +4.16%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, MBI is expected to trade between:
$4.47 - $4.70

Key Level to Watch

$4.79 resistance
Watch for continuation above $4.57

🔔 Get MBI Alerts

We'll notify you when MBI's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 08, 2026 8:37 PM (74 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bearish
Options Sentiment
3.96
Put/Call Ratio
93.7%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 15,727
Put Volume: 62,206
Total: 77,933
Unusual Activity: $4 PUT (6,348 vol) $4 PUT (6,348 vol) $4 PUT (6,348 vol)

Historical Context

MBI has moved more than 3.0% up on 22 occasions in the past year.

40.9%
Continuation Rate
9/22 times continued up
-1.39%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar up moves
Last similar move: Sep 21, 2026 (3.4%) → Next day: -0.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is MBI stock up today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The SURETY INSURANCE sector is up 2.2% on average.

Is MBI stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, MBI shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the MBI stock price target?

MBI is currently trading at $4.57. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $4.47 - $4.70. See long-term price prediction →

Will MBI stock continue rising?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that MBI's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $4.79 (resistance).

Is MBI stock oversold or overbought?

MBI's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 50.9. This shows bullish momentum - the stock has positive momentum but isn't overextended yet.

What is the momentum for MBI stock?

MBI's 10-day momentum indicator is at 0.15. Positive momentum - the stock has mild upward pressure supporting the current trend.

Is MBI outperforming or underperforming the market?

MBI (+2.82%) is currently significantly outperforming the market (+3.2% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.42%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is down -1.34%.

What does MACD indicate for MBI?

MBI's MACD (-0.11) is currently above the signal line (-0.16), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 46.2) is strong.

Is MBI in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, MBI is in a mixed/transitional trend. The price and moving averages are not clearly aligned, suggesting a potential trend change or consolidation phase. 20-day SMA: $4.46, 50-day SMA: $4.75.

Check Why Another Stock is Moving

Enter any ticker symbol to see real-time analysis

Popular: AAPL TSLA NVDA MSFT META AMZN GOOGL