Why is MBI Down Today?

MBI
$4.42
▼ -2.21% ($-0.10)
Last updated: Sep 18, 2026 5:36 PM ET

About MBIA Inc.

MBIA Inc provides financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds and asset-backed securities in the United States and internationally. It offers an unconditional guarantee to repay the principal and interest on these securities if the issuer defaults. MBIA insures bonds sold in the primary and sec...

Sector: SURETY INSURANCE
Market Cap: $364.53M
Forward P/E: -15.3
52-Week Range: $4.41 - $8.17
Employees: 57

Overall Confidence: 75%

75% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

OPTIONS 75% Confidence
🎯 Unusual PUT buying detected
Options traders are heavily buying puts on MBI, with 85% of volume in puts. This suggests bearish institutional positioning.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.2x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

SURETY INSURANCE sector: -0.7%

MBI is outperforming its sector by -1.6%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

MBI is underperforming the market (-1.9% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.31%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.14%
MBI
This Stock
-2.21%
vs S&P 500: -1.9%
vs Nasdaq: -2.35%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, MBI is expected to trade between:
$4.29 - $4.51

Key Level to Watch

$4.20 support
Watch for breakdown below $4.42

🔔 Get MBI Alerts

We'll notify you when MBI's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Sep 18, 2026 5:36 PM (-217 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bearish
Options Sentiment
1.39
Put/Call Ratio
92.2%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 49,937
Put Volume: 69,516
Total: 119,453
Unusual Activity: $4 PUT (6,348 vol) $4 PUT (6,348 vol) $4 PUT (6,348 vol)

Historical Context

MBI has moved more than 3.0% down on 32 occasions in the past year.

43.8%
Continuation Rate
14/32 times continued down
+0.4%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 15, 2026 (-3.2%) → Next day: +0.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is MBI stock down today?

Options traders are heavily buying puts on MBI, with 85% of volume in puts. This suggests bearish institutional positioning.

Is MBI stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, MBI shows 75% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the MBI stock price target?

MBI is currently trading at $4.42. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $4.29 - $4.51. See long-term price prediction →

Will MBI stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that MBI's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $4.20 (support).

Is MBI stock oversold or overbought?

MBI's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 29.9. This indicates oversold conditions - the stock may be due for a bounce as selling pressure appears exhausted.

What is the momentum for MBI stock?

MBI's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.34. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is MBI outperforming or underperforming the market?

MBI (-2.21%) is currently underperforming the market (-1.9% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.31%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.14%.

What does MACD indicate for MBI?

MBI's MACD (-0.19) is currently above the signal line (-0.2), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 39.2) is strong.

Is MBI in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, MBI is in a bearish trend. The price ($4.42) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($4.71) and 50-day SMA ($5.21). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

Check Why Another Stock is Moving

Enter any ticker symbol to see real-time analysis

Popular: AAPL TSLA NVDA MSFT META AMZN GOOGL