MBIA (MBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MBI - MBIA Inc.

SURETY INSURANCE
$4.44
-0.08 (-1.88%) ▼
5d: -4.42%
30d: -7.99%
90d: -27.06%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $4.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.60 to $4.98.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: MBI scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+54.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $4.60 - $4.98
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 7th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 54.9% below Wall St target ($7.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.60 - $4.98
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.35 (7.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.44
Resistance Level $4.84
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -10.16
Wall Street Target $7.00 (+54.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -25.0%
Profit Margin -164.8%
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Last updated: September 18, 2026 1:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MBI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.

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