MBIA (MBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBI - MBIA Inc.
$4.38
-0.08 (-1.79%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.9%
30d:
+2.82%
90d:
-14.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MBI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MBI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $4.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.35 to $4.51.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+57.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+57.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.35 -
$4.51
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MBI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.0% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.35 -
$4.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$0.46
(10.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.31
Resistance Level
$4.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-10.02
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+57.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
-164.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 29, 2026 12:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.
