MBIA (MBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBI - MBIA Inc.
$4.58
0.14 (3.15%)
▲
5d:
+6.76%
30d:
+0.22%
90d:
-28.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $4.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.37 to $4.68.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBI scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBI scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.37 -
$4.68
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.8% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.37 -
$4.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.39
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.19
Resistance Level
$4.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-10.29
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+52.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
-164.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 08, 2026 9:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.
