RFIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RFIL - RF Industries Ltd
$11.18
-0.07 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-17.85%
30d:
-14.13%
90d:
-37.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RFIL is down 17.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RFIL is down 17.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.77
50.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RFIL is currently trading at $11.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.82 to $13.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RFIL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RFIL scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+58.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RFIL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RFIL scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+58.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.82 -
$13.45
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.0% below Wall St target ($18.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.82 -
$13.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.49
(13.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.04
Resistance Level
$13.85
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.31
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+58.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 21.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.54
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→21)
$13.73
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$39.14
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 30.4%)
$25.95
(+122%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 30.4%)
$22.06
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.88 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.13
Bull Case
$13.50
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$11.18
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$8.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.83
(+60.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is RFIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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