AMPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMPX - Amprius Technologies, Inc.

MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$9.60
0.13 (1.37%) ▲
5d: +3.9%
30d: -29.36%
90d: -54.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 2d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMPX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMPX is currently trading at $9.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.69 to $13.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 160.0) compared to its historical average (218.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.44, while resistance sits at $10.91.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+139.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $9.69 - $13.16
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 139.6% below Wall St target ($23.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.69 - $13.16
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.44
Resistance Level $10.91
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 160.00
Wall Street Target $23.00 (+139.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 152.9%
Profit Margin -44.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 160.0 vs 218.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.65 (-10%)
2-Year Target $7.79 (-19%)
3-Year Target $7.02 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 160→218) $9.58 (0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 160.0 to 218.4
Stabilization Target: $13.10 (+36.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +36.5%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kang Sun SELL 1500000 shares 2026-04-01
Kang Sun SELL 217869 shares 2026-03-23
Steven Chu SELL 155565 shares 2026-03-12

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