AMPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPX - Amprius Technologies, Inc.
$10.34
0.14 (1.37%)
▲
5d:
-17.35%
30d:
+4.34%
90d:
-32.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $11.85 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPX is down 17.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPX is down 17.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPX is currently trading at $10.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.67 to $11.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 103.4) compared to its historical average (208.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.94, while resistance sits at $13.42.
Market Sentiment: AMPX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+122.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.94, while resistance sits at $13.42.
Market Sentiment: AMPX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+122.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.67 -
$11.68
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMPX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 122.4% below Wall St target ($23.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.67 -
$11.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.94
Resistance Level
$13.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
103.40
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+122.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
125.9%
Profit Margin
-33.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
103.4 vs 208.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.38
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 103→208)
$15.19
(+47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 103.4 to 208.3
Stabilization Target:
$20.83
(+101.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+101.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kang Sun
SELL
1500000 shares
2026-04-01
Kang Sun
SELL
217869 shares
2026-03-23
Steven Chu
SELL
155565 shares
2026-03-12
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Advanced AMPX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMPX price and gamma walls.
