AYI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AYI - Acuity Inc.
$310.58
11.89 (3.98%)
▲
5d:
+1.38%
30d:
+7.99%
90d:
+9.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AYI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AYI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$421.71
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$261.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AYI is currently trading at $310.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $286.46 to $311.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $279.73, while resistance sits at $323.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AYI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $352.50 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $279.73, while resistance sits at $323.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AYI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $352.50 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$286.46 -
$311.14
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($352.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$286.46 -
$311.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.33
(6.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$279.73
Resistance Level
$323.06
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.06
Wall Street Target
$352.50
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$295.40
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$292.15
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$288.94
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$297.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$598.61
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$386.46
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$328.49
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.64
Bull Case
$551.05
(+85%)
Analyst growth 55.7%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$500.95
(+68%)
Market implied 55.7%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$218.74
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$308.01
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AYI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Laura O'shaughnessy
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-08
Karen J Holcom
SELL
4974 shares
2026-01-28
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